224,000 New Jobs in June Produce New Worries on Wall Street

This month marks the start of the eleventh year of an economic expansion that began at the end of the last recession. That surpasses the previous record for growth, set in the 1990s. The economy grew at an annual rate of 3.1% in the first quarter. The unemployment rate is at a 50-year low. Inflation […]

The President Rails, The Chairman Dons Ear Muffs

Who says Americans are deeply divided on all issues? Not true. Both the President and the hard left, including a new group, Employ America, agree that the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates, a lot and soon. But the Fed, led by chairman Jay Powell is not ready, at least not yet, to lower rates. […]

The President Holds the Fed Chairman Prisoner

Yes, we wish it had been more vigorous. But longevity is nothing to sneer at. This month the current US economic expansion will be 10-years old, and by next month the longest on record. That compares with an average of less than five years for all post-WW2 expansions. During this expansion, the economy has added […]

It’s Up to Capitalists to Save Capitalism

Capitalism is under threat. No, not from Xi Jinping and his alternative model, an economy managed by a Communist Party elite that has no use for such things as market forces and dissenting voices. America has in the past seen off threats from alternative systems – Mussolini’s Fascism, Hitler’s National Socialism, Lenin and Stalin’s Communism, […]

The Burden of Debt

Both ends of the political spectrum have become increasingly cavalier about debt. They may live to regret it. A spectre is haunting the world. No, not communism, which can’t even find a home in Russia. The spectre is debt. The creditor class has nothing to lose but its Kapital, and the bourgeoisie nothing to lose […]

A Goldilocks Economy That Trump Wants Hotter

Disaggregate. That’s what to do when a bit of economic data is released and proves so pleasing to the administration that all the President’s men, persons, these days, hie to the television studios to claim it’s all due to the shrewd economic management of their boss. Which is what happened when the government’s advance estimate […]

Saving Capitalism from the Capitalists

Capitalism is in crisis. Who says so? Bernie Sanders, a 77-year old millionaire white male senator from rural Vermont, a state that established a single-payer health care system and then abandoned it for requiring untenable tax increases. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, a 29-year young telegenic Hispanic congresswoman from New York who had become a leader of the […]

Trump’s Coming War with the Fed

Like Andrew Jackson before him, Trump is preparing to go to war with America’s central bank. Consider this: Donald Trump installed a portrait of Andrew Jackson on the Oval Office. Add this: Andrew Jackson fought a bitter battle with his cabinet, fired two Treasury secretaries, and mounted a campaign against the Bank of the United […]

Outlook

Good news: last month’s government report that the economy had added only 20,000 jobs in February was an anomaly. In March, 196,000 new jobs were created, about in line with the long-term job-creation trend. The unemployment rate remains at a low 3.8% and hourly wages ticked up nicely, to 3.2% above last year’s level. So […]

All Aboard The Runaway Spending Train

Both parties have abandoned even the pretense of budgetary restraint Nothing new on the budget front, or so it seems at first glance. President Trump submitted to Congress a $4.7 trillion budget for the 2020 fiscal year, which begins on Oct. 1 of this year. That’s almost 8 percent more than he asked for in […]